EI
eHealth, Inc. (EHTH)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 revenue was $53.9M, down 8% YoY, with GAAP net loss of $31.7M and adjusted EBITDA of $(34.0)M; management cited dual-eligible enrollment rule changes as a key headwind while positive net adjustment revenue (“TEL”) helped profitability .
- Results beat S&P Global consensus: revenue $53.9M vs $52.1M* and EPS $(1.31)* vs $(1.81)*; beats were driven by $12.2M TEL revenue and disciplined variable marketing spend that was pulled back in Q3 to preserve AEP ROI .
- FY2025 guidance was raised for GAAP net income to $9–$30M and adjusted EBITDA to $60–$80M, with updated TEL revenue expected at $40–$43M; total revenue and operating cash flow ranges were maintained .
- Early AEP indicators were “encouraging,” with strong consumer demand, improving branded channel efficiency, and a more tenured advisor force; term loan maturity was extended to January 2027, improving flexibility .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Raised FY2025 GAAP net income and adjusted EBITDA guidance ranges; CFO highlighted TEL revenue and favorable operating costs as drivers: “The increase reflects the positive impact of net adjustment revenue and favorable operating costs relative to our internal expectations” .
- Positive TEL revenue of $12.2M vs $1.2M last year supported profitability; Medicare segment loss narrowed to $1.2M from $5.6M YoY .
- AEP execution setup: “We entered the enrollment season exceptionally well prepared—with a more experienced advisor force, a trusted and growing brand, and one of the broadest plan selections” – CEO Derrick Duke ; early AEP tracking “in line with internal expectations,” with improving branded channel efficiency .
What Went Wrong
- Medicare Advantage volume below expectations due to removal of the quarterly dual-eligible enrollment period; MA approved members fell 29% YoY in Q3 and total Medicare submissions fell 36% YoY .
- Acquisition costs per MA-equivalent approved member rose 19% YoY to $1,489 (CC&E +29% to $930; variable marketing +4% to $559), as fixed costs were spread over lower volumes .
- Employer & Individual segment revenue declined 24% YoY to $3.9M, with segment gross profit down 47% YoY to $0.97M, reflecting market dynamics and constrained marketing allocations .
Financial Results
Consolidated performance and profitability
Q3 2025 vs Wall Street consensus (S&P Global)
Values marked with * were retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment breakdown
KPIs and unit economics
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Early AEP indicators are encouraging: consumer demand is strong, and our branded messages resonate even stronger than a year ago” – Derrick Duke, CEO .
- “We are raising our net income and adjusted EBITDA guidance ranges to reflect execution through the end of Q3” – John Dolan, CFO .
- On competitive positioning: “I don’t want to just be the best telebroker. I want to be the best broker.” – Derrick Duke (emphasis on brand-led retention and relationship) .
- On commission rates: expecting mid-single digit YoY broker rate increases in AEP; mix varies by carrier/product .
Q&A Highlights
- Demand and disruption: Management sees similar levels of year-over-year demand tied to plan changes; early AEP performance tracking to internal expectations .
- Opportunistic marketing: Intent to lean into higher LTV-to-CAC branded channels during AEP, dynamically reallocating across TV/search and other channels .
- Retention push: Outbound calls increased ~20% to proactively assist members amid plan volatility, with brand and loyalty investments expected to yield further retention gains .
- Commission rates/LTV: Mid-single-digit broker rate increases expected (partially muted by admin fees), implying low-to-mid-single-digit LTV growth for 2026 .
- TEL revenue: Guidance increase (to $40–$43M) reflects strong year-to-date TEL and potential Q4 upside; TEL offset weaker commissions from lower volume .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025: Revenue beat ($53.9M vs $52.1M*) and EPS beat ($(1.31)* vs $(1.81)*), driven by TEL revenue and cost discipline .
- Prior quarters also beat: Q1 revenue $113.1M vs $99.5M* and EPS $(0.27)* vs $(0.76); Q2 revenue $60.8M vs $45.98M and EPS $(0.80)* vs $(1.45)* .
Values marked with * were retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- The Q3 print was a modest beat vs consensus on both revenue and EPS, despite headwinds from dual-eligible rule changes; TEL revenue continued to be an earnings lever .
- Guidance raise (GAAP NI and adjusted EBITDA) and updated TEL range signal confidence into peak AEP weeks; near-term stock catalysts include AEP progression updates and Q4 execution .
- Unit economics worsened on lower volume (MA-equivalent acquisition cost up 19% YoY), but management is prioritizing higher-ROI branded channels during AEP to protect margins .
- Retention efforts, brand strength, and AI-enabled capacity expansion (AI screener and voice agents) aim to stabilize cohorts and improve conversion/answer rates through peak season .
- Capital flexibility improved via term loan maturity extension to Jan 2027; management working to leverage commissions receivable and address convertible preferred over time .
- Segment dynamics: Medicare remains core; Med Supp and HIP show positive momentum, while Employer & Individual faces ongoing pressure from market dynamics .
- Watch for carrier-specific plan mix and commission actions; management expects mid-single-digit commission rate increases offset by admin fee dynamics, pointing to low-to-mid-single-digit LTV growth in 2026 .
Values marked with * were retrieved from S&P Global.